REROY

19:45Sat 17 Oct

GEN

GEN

Royal Excelsior Virton vs Genk

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Beker van Belgie, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Yvan Georges, Virton.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Royal Excelsior Virton have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. Genk have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W.

The numbers. Royal Excelsior Virton score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. Royal Excelsior Virton average 14.2 shots (5.6 on target) and 1.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Genk score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Genk average 11.9 shots (5.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.

The case against. Royal Excelsior Virton's record still gives them 48% to win.

The read. Genk to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Royal Excelsior Virton the likelier winners; Royal Excelsior Virton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Royal Excelsior Virton. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Genk are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Genk are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Royal Excelsior Virton 1-2 Genk (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Genk or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ROY 4 of 6 (67%) · GEN 6 of 6 (100%)85.9%

Genk: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Royal Excelsior Virton: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · both last 10: 85%

Genk or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

ROY 4 of 6 (67%) · GEN 4 of 6 (67%)70.3%

Genk: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Royal Excelsior Virton: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 65%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

ROY 5 of 6 (83%) · GEN 4 of 6 (67%)79.6%

Royal Excelsior Virton: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Genk: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

ROY 3 of 6 (50%) · GEN 3 of 6 (50%)57.7%

Royal Excelsior Virton: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · Genk: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.19

ROY 6 of 6 (100%) · GEN 3 of 6 (50%)76.7%

Royal Excelsior Virton: the bet landed in 6 of 6 at home · Genk: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.27

ROY 4 of 6 (67%) · GEN 4 of 6 (67%)69.4%

Royal Excelsior Virton: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · Genk: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Genk are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Genk are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 5.9%

Royal Excelsior Virton goals →

Genk goals ↓

0-06%

1-010%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.9%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ROYAL EXCELSIOR VIRTONLWDWLWWWWW2.20 PPG

GENKWLDDWDWLDW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ROYAL EXCELSIOR VIRTON HOMExGENK AWAY

2.30SCORED A GAME1.800.90CONCEDED A GAME1.2060%CLEAN SHEETS50%17%FAILED TO SCORE25%0.00CORNERS A GAME3.901.40CARDS A GAME2.10

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR GENK (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

82%

NO · 85/90

ROYAL EXCELSIOR VIRTON OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

GENK OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Royal Excelsior Virton have scored in 90% of their games.

Genk have scored in 70% of their games.

Royal Excelsior Virton kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Genk kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards