RAAL La Louviere vs RFC Liege
Match details. Beker van Belgie, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. RAAL La Louviere have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. RFC Liege have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. In this competition RFC Liege have gone W.
The numbers. RAAL La Louviere score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. RAAL La Louviere average 11.6 shots (3.6 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.1 cards a game, with 37% of the ball. RFC Liege score one and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. RFC Liege average 13.4 shots (4.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings RAAL La Louviere have won two, drawn one and lost two. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, RAAL La Louviere won two, one was drawn and RFC Liege won one. The last time they met, on 9 Mar 2025, it finished RAAL La Louviere 1-1 RFC Liege: RAAL La Louviere had 11 shots to 14, 39% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%; three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and RAAL La Louviere are not clearly stronger. Likely cup rotation: a domestic cup tie against a side from a division below.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: RAAL La Louviere or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); RAAL La Louviere or Both Teams Score (no result call); RAAL La Louviere or Draw & Over 1.5 (no result call). Predicted score: RAAL La Louviere 2-1 RFC Liege (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).