Club Brugge vs KSC Lokeren Temse
Match details. Beker van Belgie, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Club Brugge have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. KSC Lokeren Temse have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. Club Brugge score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Club Brugge average 17.0 shots (6.0 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. KSC Lokeren Temse score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. KSC Lokeren Temse average 14.8 shots (5.7 on target) and 1.7 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 90% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Club Brugge are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Club Brugge the likelier winners; Club Brugge are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Brugge. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Club Brugge are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Club Brugge are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Club Brugge 2-1 KSC Lokeren Temse (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).