OHOUD

16:30Sat 17 Oct

ROY

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Royal Francs Borains

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Beker van Belgie, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Oud-Heverlee Leuven have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. Royal Francs Borains have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.

The numbers. Oud-Heverlee Leuven score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Oud-Heverlee Leuven average 13.2 shots (2.5 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Royal Francs Borains score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Royal Francs Borains average 16.0 shots (5.3 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 8 Nov 2022, it finished Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5-0 Royal Francs Borains.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The case against. Royal Francs Borains's record still gives them 60% to win.

The read. Oud-Heverlee Leuven to win. Royal Francs Borains are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Royal Francs Borains.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Oud-Heverlee Leuven are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Oud-Heverlee Leuven are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1-0 Royal Francs Borains (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.17

OUD 5 of 5 (100%) · ROY 4 of 5 (80%)89.8%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Royal Francs Borains: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

ROYAL FRANCS BORAINS GOALS

Royal Francs Borains Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.60

OUD 3 of 5 (60%) · ROY 4 of 5 (80%)70.4%

Royal Francs Borains scored in 3 of 5 away · Oud-Heverlee Leuven conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OUD 6 of 8 (75%) · ROY 5 of 6 (83%)79.2%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's games: over 8.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Francs Borains's games: over 8.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79%

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OUD 6 of 8 (75%) · ROY 4 of 6 (67%)70.8%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Francs Borains's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Oud-Heverlee Leuven are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Oud-Heverlee Leuven are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 9%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven goals →

Royal Francs Borains goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41.0%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

OUD-HEVERLEE LEUVENDLLLLLLDWD0.60 PPG

ROYAL FRANCS BORAINSWWDLWLWWWL1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OUD-HEVERLEE LEUVEN HOMExROYAL FRANCS BORAINS AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME1.701.70CONCEDED A GAME1.4010%CLEAN SHEETS30%38%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.38CORNERS A GAME6.832.38CARDS A GAME2.33

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OUD-HEVERLEE LEUVEN OR DRAW (1UP)

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137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

OUD-HEVERLEE LEUVEN 1 · 100%DRAW 0ROYAL FRANCS BORAINS 0 · 0%

2022-11-08Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 – 0 Royal Francs Borains

TRENDS

Oud-Heverlee Leuven failed to score in 38% of their games.

Royal Francs Borains failed to score in 33% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headcornerscards