KHKSK

16:30Sat 17 Oct

ROY

KSK Heist vs Royal Antwerp FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Beker van Belgie, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum, Heist-Op-Den-Berg.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. KSK Heist have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Royal Antwerp FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.

The numbers. KSK Heist score 1.6 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. KSK Heist average 0.0 cards a game. Royal Antwerp FC score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Royal Antwerp FC average 14.9 shots (5.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 11% against the records' 48%.

The read. No firm call: KSK Heist are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. KSK Heist are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KSK Heist. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Royal Antwerp FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs KSK Heist); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Royal Antwerp FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs KSK Heist). Predicted score: KSK Heist 2-1 Royal Antwerp FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

KSK Heist or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KSK 9 of 10 (90%) · ROY 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

KSK Heist: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Antwerp FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

KSK Heist or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.39

KSK 8 of 10 (80%) · ROY 4 of 5 (80%)80%

KSK Heist: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Antwerp FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

Double Chance: KSK Heist or Royal Antwerp FCIN CODES

1.13

KSK 8 of 10 (80%) · ROY 4 of 5 (80%)80%

KSK Heist: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Antwerp FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

KSK 9 of 10 (90%) · ROY 3 of 5 (60%)78.3%

KSK Heist: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Antwerp FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.48

KSK 8 of 10 (80%) · ROY 3 of 5 (60%)70%

KSK Heist: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Antwerp FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

KSK HEIST GOALS

KSK Heist Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.55

KSK 7 of 10 (70%) · ROY 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%

KSK Heist scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Antwerp FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

KSK 9 of 10 (90%) · ROY 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

KSK Heist: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Royal Antwerp FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Royal Antwerp FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs KSK Heist); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Royal Antwerp FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs KSK Heist); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.8%

KSK Heist goals →

Royal Antwerp FC goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-06%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.5%

0-16%

1-111%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-25%

1-28%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.5%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.8%

5-30.3%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

KSK HEISTLWWLWDLLWD1.40 PPG

ROYAL ANTWERP FCDWWWDLLLLL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KSK HEIST HOMExROYAL ANTWERP FC AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.401.90CONCEDED A GAME2.0020%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE25%0.00CORNERS A GAME4.750.00CARDS A GAME2.25

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME0.57-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.29–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.71.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.06LEAGUE GAMES7

KSK Heist: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

80%

VERY GOOD · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 85/90

KSK HEIST OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

ROYAL ANTWERP FC OR DRAW

31%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

KSK HEISTxROYAL ANTWERP FC

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME3.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%100%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

KSK Heist have scored in 80% of their games.

Royal Antwerp FC have scored in 70% of their games.

KSK Heist kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Royal Antwerp FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards