UDIUDI

20:45Sun 25 Oct

ACM

Udinese vs AC Milan

CLASS A

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THE BETSTRONG · NOT IN CODES

MATCH RESULT

Class A

UDIv

AC Milan to Win

Udinese v AC Milan

Italy - Serie A · 20:45

1.89odds

53%book

+35edge

—angles

THE READ

Match details. Udinese host AC Milan in Serie A Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time at Bluenergy Stadium in Udine. Matteo Marcenaro is the referee.

What's at stake. Udinese are 17th on 4 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Genoa and level on points with Fiorentina. A win would take them level on points with Genoa. AC Milan sit 5th on 15 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Como and 1 point clear of Frosinone. A win would take them above Como.

Team news. Udinese are without centre-back O. Solet due to a muscle injury, alongside D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye and A. Zanoli. AC Milan are missing main creator A. Rabiot with a calf injury. S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira and A. Saelemaekers are also ruled out.

Form. Udinese have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, averaging 1.0 points a game. Their last five games ended L L L L L. AC Milan have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, picking up 1.8 points a game. Their last five read L W W D W.

The numbers. Udinese score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Udinese average 12.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. AC Milan score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. They average 10.9 shots (4.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Udinese have won three, drawn two and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Udinese won one and AC Milan won three. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Udinese 3-0 AC Milan, with Udinese having 12 shots to 20, 37% of the ball and two yellow cards.

The case against. For me, the main issue for AC Milan is being without A. Rabiot, who is their main creator.

The read. AC Milan or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make AC Milan the likelier winners, and AC Milan are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records and head-to-head meetings favour AC Milan. Goals for and against point to an open match, putting over 2.5 goals at 62% after six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: AC Milan to win at 1.89, 88% on the records (the tipsters read AC Milan as a clear winner (4 scores) and AC Milan are 1.6 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.26. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (AC Milan are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (AC Milan are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Udinese 1-2 AC Milan (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AC Milan to WinMAINHELD · the odds board 53%

1.89

UDI 21 of 24 (88%) · ACM 75% of 887.5%

the tipsters read AC Milan as a clear winner (4 scores) and AC Milan are 1.6 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won

Double Chance: Draw or AC MilanIN CODES

1.23

UDI 7 of 7 (100%) · ACM 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%

AC Milan unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Udinese failed to win 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · AC Milan: only games against sides at Udinese's level · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level

AC Milan 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.43

UDI 4 of 5 (80%) · ACM 6 of 7 (86%)83.8%

AC Milan scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Udinese trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Milan: only games against sides at Udinese's level · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · the call is AC Milan or the draw: AC Milan without A. Rabiot (creator) (rule 3)

AC Milan (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.36

UDI 5 of 7 (71%) · ACM 6 of 7 (86%)83.1%

AC Milan won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Udinese lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · won 5, refunded 4, lost 3

AC Milan to Win Either Half: YesTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.44

UDI 5 of 7 (71%) · ACM 8 of 8 (100%)81%

AC Milan: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Udinese: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · AC Milan: only games against sides at Udinese's level · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · the call is AC Milan or the draw: AC Milan without A. Rabiot (creator) (rule 3)

1X2 - 2UP: AC MilanTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.80

UDI 2 of 5 (40%) · ACM 4 of 7 (57%)72.5%

AC Milan scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Udinese trailed by 2 or lost in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Milan: only games against sides at Udinese's level · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · the call is AC Milan or the draw: AC Milan without A. Rabiot (creator) (rule 3)

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

UDI 6 of 8 (75%) · ACM 7 of 7 (100%)75.7%

Udinese: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Milan: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 6 · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan: only games against sides at Udinese's level

UDINESE GOALS

Udinese Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

UDI 6 of 8 (75%) · ACM 5 of 7 (71%)72.5%

Udinese scored under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Milan conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan: only games against sides at Udinese's level

AC MILAN GOALS

AC Milan Over 0.5 goalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

1.20

UDI 7 of 7 (100%) · ACM 8 of 8 (100%)90.2%

AC Milan scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Udinese conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · AC Milan: only games against sides at Udinese's level · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan without A. Rabiot (rule 3)

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5BACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.26

UDI 7 of 8 (88%) · ACM 7 of 7 (100%)91.1%

Udinese: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AC Milan: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Udinese: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan: only games against sides at Udinese's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (93%) and the records (71%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (AC Milan are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (AC Milan are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.5%

Udinese goals →

AC Milan goals ↓

0-07%

1-06%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-112%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-210%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.6%

1-50.7%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

UDINESELWDWWLLLLL1.00 PPG

AC MILANWWDDLWDWWL1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UDINESE HOMExAC MILAN AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.801.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.89CORNERS A GAME3.702.44CARDS A GAME2.201.20xG1.652.18xG AGAINST1.26

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.57POINTS A GAME2.14-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.30.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES7

AC Milan: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

AC MILAN 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 85/90

UDINESE OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

AC MILAN OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

UDINESExAC MILAN

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.002.60CONCEDED A GAME1.203.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.610.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES6.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

UDINESE 3 · 30%DRAW 2AC MILAN 5 · 50%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

6 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-12-11Udinese 1 – 1 AC Milan

2022-02-25Udinese 1 – 1 AC Milan

2022-08-13Udinese 2 – 4 AC Milan

2023-03-18Udinese 3 – 1 AC Milan

2023-11-04Udinese 1 – 0 AC Milan

2024-01-20Udinese 2 – 3 AC Milan

2024-10-19Udinese 0 – 1 AC Milan

2025-04-11Udinese 0 – 4 AC Milan

TEAM NEWS

UDINESE

Out: D. Alaba (Calf Injury), V. Bayo (Thigh Injury), I. Gueye (Ankle Injury), A. Zanoli (Muscle Injury), O. Solet (Muscle Injury), D. Alaba (Calf Injury)

AC MILAN

Out: S. Chukwueze (Hip Injury), M. Gabbia (Thigh Injury), M. Gila (Ankle Injury), D. Moreira (Thigh Injury), A. Rabiot (Calf Injury), A. Saelemaekers (Ankle Injury)

TRENDS

Udinese have scored in 70% of their games.

AC Milan have scored in 80% of their games.

Udinese kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

AC Milan kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards