Lecce vs Juventus
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. The referee is Fabio Maresca.
What's at stake. Lecce are 12th on 9 points after 7 games, level on points with Atalanta, 1 point clear of Bologna. A win would take them above Atalanta. Juventus are 10th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Napoli, 2 points clear of Atalanta. A win would take them above Napoli.
Team news. Lecce are without L. Coulibaly (thigh injury), I. Ilic (thigh injury), S. Pierotti (ankle injury), M. Berisha (thigh injury), L. Coulibaly (thigh injury), I. Ilic (thigh injury). Juventus are without Z. Celik (muscle injury), F. Conceicao (shoulder injury), J. Ekhator (muscle injury), N. Gonzalez (calf injury), K. Grabara (knee injury), M. Locatelli (knee injury).
Form. Lecce have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. Juventus have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W.
The numbers. Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Lecce average 10.5 shots (4.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. Juventus score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Juventus average 14.7 shots (5.8 on target), 7.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Lecce have won none, drawn three and lost seven. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Juventus won two. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished Lecce 0-1 Juventus: Lecce had 8 shots to 15, 35% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Lecce's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Juventus to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Juventus the likelier winners; Juventus are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Juventus; the meetings favour Juventus. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 72% on the records (Lecce: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Juventus: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Lecce 0-1 Juventus (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).