GENGEN

15:00Sun 25 Oct

VEN

Genoa vs Venezia FC

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. The referee is Simone Sozza.

What's at stake. Genoa are 17th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Udinese, level on points with Fiorentina. A win would take them above Udinese. Venezia FC are 20th on 3 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Parma. A win would take them above Parma.

Team news. Genoa are without L. Colombo (ankle injury), L. Venturino (knee injury), E. Havel (ankle injury), F. Meichtry (muscle injury), D. Sow (thigh injury), L. Colombo (ankle injury). Venezia FC are without A. Adorante (hernia), G. Busio (thigh injury), B. Franjic (shoulder injury), M. Sverko (hip injury), A. Bella-Kotchap (thigh injury), T. Correia (thigh injury).

Form. Genoa have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. Venezia FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. Genoa score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Genoa average 11.9 shots (3.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Venezia FC score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Venezia FC average 14.5 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Genoa have won three, drawn two and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Genoa won three and Venezia FC won one. The last time they met, on 17 Feb 2025, it finished Genoa 2-0 Venezia FC: Genoa had 14 shots to 7, 50% of the ball, two yellow cards.

The case against. Venezia FC's record still gives them 38% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.

The read. Genoa to win. An open game. Genoa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Genoa.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Genoa Over 0.5 goals (Genoa's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Genoa 2-1 Venezia FC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Genoa or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GEN 6 of 8 (75%) · VEN 6 of 7 (86%)80.5%

Genoa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Genoa or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

1.21

GEN 4 of 8 (50%) · VEN 6 of 7 (86%)73.8%

Genoa: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 4 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Genoa or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

GEN 2 of 8 (25%) · VEN 6 of 7 (86%)67%

Genoa: the bet landed in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Genoa or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 81%

1.23

GEN 3 of 5 (60%) · VEN 3 of 8 (38%)61.1%

Genoa scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Genoa 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

GEN 2 of 5 (40%) · VEN 2 of 8 (25%)50.2%

Genoa scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 2 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC trailed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

GEN 6 of 8 (75%) · VEN 6 of 7 (86%)76.8%

Genoa: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

HALVES

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.11

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · VEN 5 of 7 (71%)84.6%

Genoa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.20

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · VEN 5 of 7 (71%)80.4%

Genoa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.27

GEN 6 of 8 (75%) · VEN 6 of 7 (86%)76.9%

Genoa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.46

GEN 6 of 8 (75%) · VEN 4 of 7 (57%)70.4%

Genoa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GEN 7 of 8 (88%) · VEN 6 of 7 (86%)86.6%

Genoa's games: over 2.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Venezia FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Genoa: only games against sides at Venezia FC's level · Venezia FC: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Left off the list: Genoa Over 0.5 goals (Genoa's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.1%

Genoa goals →

Venezia FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

GENOALWLLLDWLWL1.00 PPG

VENEZIA FCWWLLLLLLLW0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GENOA HOMExVENEZIA FC AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.201.50CONCEDED A GAME2.0010%CLEAN SHEETS20%43%FAILED TO SCORE43%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.402.20CARDS A GAME2.300.95xG1.621.35xG AGAINST2.36

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

0.57POINTS A GAME0.43-1.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.43-4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.30.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.67LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 85/90

GENOA OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

VENEZIA FC OR DRAW

40%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GENOAxVENEZIA FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.202.00CONCEDED A GAME2.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.09.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

GENOA 3 · 50%DRAW 2VENEZIA FC 1 · 17%

2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-10-31Genoa 0 – 0 Venezia FC

2022-02-20Genoa 1 – 1 Venezia FC

2022-08-14Genoa 2 – 1 Venezia FC

2023-01-16Genoa 1 – 0 Venezia FC

2024-09-21Genoa 0 – 2 Venezia FC

2025-02-17Genoa 2 – 0 Venezia FC

TEAM NEWS

GENOA

Out: L. Colombo (Ankle Injury), L. Venturino (Knee Injury), E. Havel (Ankle Injury), F. Meichtry (Muscle Injury), D. Sow (Thigh Injury), L. Colombo (Ankle Injury)

VENEZIA FC

Out: A. Adorante (Hernia), G. Busio (Thigh Injury), B. Franjic (Shoulder Injury), M. Sverko (Hip Injury), A. Bella-Kotchap (Thigh Injury), T. Correia (Thigh Injury)

TRENDS

Genoa have scored in 60% of their games.

Venezia FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Genoa kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Venezia FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards