INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

OLYOLY

20:00Thu 22 Oct

SPA

Olympiacos vs Sparta Prague

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. The referee is Espen Eskas.

What's at stake. Olympiacos are 10th on 6 points after 2 games, level on points with Sunderland, 2 points clear of Sparta Praha. A win would take them above Sunderland. Sparta Prague are 11th on 4 points after 2 games, 2 points behind Olympiakos Piraeus, level on points with Union St. Gilloise. A win would take them above Olympiakos Piraeus.

Team news. Olympiacos are without L. Bailey (injury), Clayton (off the roster), A. El Kaabi (broken leg), K. Fortounis (muscle injury), M. Mouandilmadji (off the roster), B. Popovic (off the roster). Sparta Prague are without M. Andersen (knee injury), E. Cobbaut (groin injury), J. Grimaldo (inactive), A. Karabec (ankle injury), J. Mercado (calf injury), O. Penxa (knee injury). J. Mercado is their top scorer. J. Mercado is their centre-back.

Form. Olympiacos have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Olympiacos have gone W W. Sparta Prague have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Sparta Prague have gone D W.

The numbers. Olympiacos score 1.6 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Olympiacos average 17.6 shots (4.3 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Sparta Prague score 2.8 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Sparta Prague average 18.4 shots (6.6 on target), 7.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.

The case against. Sparta Prague's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Olympiacos or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Olympiacos. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Olympiacos 2-1 Sparta Prague (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Olympiacos or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

OLY 9 of 10 (90%) · SPA 5 of 6 (83%)93.9%

Olympiacos: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90%

Olympiacos or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.24

OLY 8 of 10 (80%) · SPA 5 of 6 (83%)70.2%

Olympiacos: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

OLY 5 of 10 (50%) · SPA 5 of 6 (83%)80.9%

Olympiacos: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

OLY 8 of 10 (80%) · SPA 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%

Olympiacos: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

OLY 7 of 10 (70%) · SPA 4 of 6 (67%)70.6%

Olympiacos: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsIN CODES

1.16

OLY 6 of 7 (86%) · SPA 5 of 7 (71%)78.6%

Olympiacos's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sparta Prague's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79%

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7.6%

Olympiacos goals →

Sparta Prague goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-17%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-34%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-42%

1-42%

2-42%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.5%

1-50.7%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

OLYMPIACOSWWDWLWWWWW2.50 PPG

SPARTA PRAGUEWLLWWWWWDD2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

OLYMPIACOS HOMExSPARTA PRAGUE AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME2.200.50CONCEDED A GAME0.7060%CLEAN SHEETS60%14%FAILED TO SCORE27%6.43CORNERS A GAME7.142.14CARDS A GAME2.141.51xG1.580.69xG AGAINST0.95

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SPARTA PRAGUE 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.17POINTS A GAME1.60+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.32.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.06LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

73%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

39%

NO · 85/90

OLYMPIACOS OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

SPARTA PRAGUE OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

OLYMPIACOSxSPARTA PRAGUE

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.600.40CONCEDED A GAME0.401.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.020%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE20%6.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.210.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

OLYMPIACOS

Out: L. Bailey (Injury), Clayton (Off the roster), A. El Kaabi (Broken Leg), K. Fortounis (Muscle Injury), M. Mouandilmadji (Off the roster), B. Popovic (Off the roster)

SPARTA PRAGUE

Out: M. Andersen (Knee Injury), E. Cobbaut (Groin Injury), J. Grimaldo (Inactive), A. Karabec (Ankle Injury), J. Mercado (Calf Injury), O. Penxa (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

Olympiacos have scored in 90% of their games.

Sparta Prague have scored in 90% of their games.

Olympiacos kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Sparta Prague kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards