RAREA

17:15Sun 18 Oct

UDO

Real Aviles CF vs UD Ourense

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 8. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta. The referee is G. Amigo.

What's at stake. Real Aviles CF are 14th on 8 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Barakaldo, level on points with Pontevedra. A win would take them above Barakaldo. UD Ourense are 19th on 5 points after 7 games, level on points with CD Coria, 3 points clear of Arenas Getxo. A win would take them above CD Coria.

Form. Real Aviles CF have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. UD Ourense have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L.

The numbers. Real Aviles CF score 1.5 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Real Aviles CF average 8.4 shots (3.5 on target), 3.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game. UD Ourense score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. UD Ourense average 6.6 shots (1.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Real Aviles CF 1-1 UD Ourense (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 9 of 10 (90%) · UDO 7 of 7 (100%)95.1%

Real Aviles CF: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 8 of 10 (80%) · UDO 7 of 7 (100%)87.8%

Real Aviles CF: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level

REAL AVILES CF GOALS

Real Aviles CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 9 of 10 (90%) · UDO 5 of 7 (71%)79.5%

Real Aviles CF scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 8 of 10 (80%) · UDO 7 of 7 (100%)90%

Real Aviles CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.17

REA 6 of 10 (60%) · UDO 7 of 7 (100%)80%

Real Aviles CF: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

REA 5 of 10 (50%) · UDO 6 of 7 (86%)67.9%

Real Aviles CF: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · on half-time scores · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REA 7 of 10 (70%) · UDO 6 of 6 (100%)85%

Real Aviles CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Ourense's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Ourense's level · UD Ourense: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.7%

Real Aviles CF goals →

UD Ourense goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

REAL AVILES CFLLDLLWDDLW0.90 PPG

UD OURENSEWWWLLLLDDW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REAL AVILES CF HOMExUD OURENSE AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.801.90CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS40%14%FAILED TO SCORE57%3.10CORNERS A GAME3.003.10CARDS A GAME2.56

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.14POINTS A GAME0.71+0.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.00-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES7

Real Aviles CF: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

REAL AVILES CF OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

UD OURENSE OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

REAL AVILES CFxUD OURENSE

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME0.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.403.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Real Aviles CF have scored in 90% of their games.

UD Ourense have scored in 60% of their games.

Real Aviles CF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

UD Ourense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards