Match details. Liga MX, Women. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 02:06 Lagos time.
Form. Club Leon have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L. Atlante FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. Club Leon score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Leon average 10.8 shots (5.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Atlante FC score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Atlante FC average 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Atlante FC's record still gives them 41% to win.
The read. Club Leon to win. An open game. Club Leon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Leon. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Club Leon Over 0.5 Goals (Club Leon's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Atlante FC Under 1.5 goals (Club Leon's own games don't back it (1 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Club Leon 2-1 Atlante FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).