Match details. Primera Division, Apertura - 16. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD Isidro Metapan are 3rd on 26 points after 14 games, 4 points behind FAS, 3 points clear of Águila. CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan are 11th on 12 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Atletico Balboa, 1 point clear of Cacahuatique. A win would take them above Atletico Balboa.
Form. AD Isidro Metapan have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition AD Isidro Metapan have gone L W W D W W. CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D D. In this competition CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan have gone W D L D D L.
The numbers. AD Isidro Metapan score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. AD Isidro Metapan average 5.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan score 0.8 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan average 2.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AD Isidro Metapan have won four, drawn none and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, AD Isidro Metapan won one and CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan won three. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished AD Isidro Metapan 0-1 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: AD Isidro Metapan are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan.
The case against. CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan's record still gives them 37% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. AD Isidro Metapan to win. A tight game. AD Isidro Metapan are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (AD Isidro Metapan are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 2.5 Goals (AD Isidro Metapan are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AD Isidro Metapan 1-0 CD Fuerte San Francisco Morazan (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).