Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 10. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa.
What's at stake. Juticalpa FC are 12th on 6 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Atlético Choloma. A win would take them above Atlético Choloma. CD Choloma are 11th on 7 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Platense FC, 1 point clear of Juticalpa. A win would take them above Platense FC.
Form. Juticalpa FC have won two, drawn none and lost seven of their last nine, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Juticalpa FC have gone L W L L W L. CD Choloma have won two, drawn one and lost six of their last nine, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition CD Choloma have gone L W L D L W.
The numbers. Juticalpa FC score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Juticalpa FC average 10.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CD Choloma score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Choloma average 17.0 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Juticalpa FC have won two, drawn two and lost none. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished Juticalpa FC 1-1 CD Choloma.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Juticalpa FC the likelier winners, but CD Choloma are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Juticalpa FC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Juticalpa FC 1-1 CD Choloma (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).