Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Takhti Stadium, Abadan.
What's at stake. Sanat Naft Abadan FC are 18th on 4 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Mes Shahr-e Babak. A win would take them above Mes Shahr-e Babak. Aluminium Arak are 6th on 13 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Foolad FC, level on points with Gol Gohar. A win would take them above Foolad FC.
Form. Sanat Naft Abadan FC have won none, drawn four and lost four of their last eight, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. In this competition Sanat Naft Abadan FC have gone L L L D D L. Aluminium Arak have won three, drawn four and lost one of their last eight, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W D. In this competition Aluminium Arak have gone L D D W D W.
The numbers. Sanat Naft Abadan FC score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sanat Naft Abadan FC average 0.0 cards a game. Aluminium Arak score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aluminium Arak average 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Sanat Naft Abadan FC have won two, drawn one and lost six. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Sanat Naft Abadan FC won one, one was drawn and Aluminium Arak won two. The last time they met, on 23 Nov 2024, it finished Sanat Naft Abadan FC 1-0 Aluminium Arak.
The read. Aluminium Arak to win. A tight game. Aluminium Arak are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aluminium Arak; the meetings favour Aluminium Arak. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Sanat Naft Abadan FC 0-1 Aluminium Arak (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).