York City FC vs Accrington Stanley

Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at York`s LNER Community Stadium.

What's at stake. York City FC are 4th on 16 points after 10 games, 5 points behind Crewe, level on points with Walsall. Accrington Stanley are 10th on 14 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Bristol Rovers, level on points with Newport County. A win would take them above Bristol Rovers.

Form. York City FC have won three, drawn four and lost two of their last nine, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. In this competition York City FC have gone D D W L W D. Accrington Stanley have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D. In this competition Accrington Stanley have gone W D W D D L.

The numbers. York City FC score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. York City FC average 15.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 62% of the ball. Accrington Stanley score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Accrington Stanley average 13.1 shots (4.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings York City FC have won two, drawn four and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Accrington Stanley won three. The last time they met, on 23 Apr 2016, it finished York City FC 0-3 Accrington Stanley.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make York City FC the likelier winners, but York City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Accrington Stanley. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Accrington Stanley's record still gives them 25% to win. The meetings do not back them.

The read. York City FC to win. Their goals for and against make York City FC the likelier winners; York City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Accrington Stanley.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (York City FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9; Accrington Stanley: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Accrington Stanley Under 1.5 Goals at 1.35. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (York City FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (York City FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: York City FC 1-0 Accrington Stanley (11% chance).