RAROC

19:45Tue 20 Oct

GRI

Rochdale AFC vs Grimsby Town

CLASS E

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

RAv

Under 3.5 Goals

Rochdale AFC v Grimsby Town

England - League Two · 19:45

1.43odds

70%book

+4edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. League Two. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

Form. Rochdale AFC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. Grimsby Town have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L.

The numbers. Rochdale AFC score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Rochdale AFC average 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Grimsby Town score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Grimsby Town average 6.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.43, 74% on the records (Rochdale AFC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; Grimsby Town: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Rochdale AFC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Grimsby Town Over 0.5 goals (Rochdale AFC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Grimsby Town Under 1.5 goals (Grimsby Town's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Rochdale AFC 1-1 Grimsby Town (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.16

ROC 6 of 8 (75%) · GRI 8 of 8 (100%)87.8%

Rochdale AFC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Grimsby Town: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Grimsby Town's level · Grimsby Town: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.43

ROC 6 of 8 (75%) · GRI 6 of 8 (75%)74.5%

Rochdale AFC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Grimsby Town: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Grimsby Town's level · Grimsby Town: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.10

ROC 4 of 8 (50%) · GRI 4 of 8 (50%)57.4%

Rochdale AFC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Grimsby Town: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Grimsby Town's level · Grimsby Town: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level

ROCHDALE AFC GOALS

Rochdale AFC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.33

ROC 7 of 8 (88%) · GRI 6 of 8 (75%)61.6%

Rochdale AFC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Grimsby Town conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Rochdale AFC: only games against sides at Grimsby Town's level · Grimsby Town: only games against sides at Rochdale AFC's level

Left off the list: Rochdale AFC or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Grimsby Town Over 0.5 goals (Rochdale AFC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Grimsby Town Under 1.5 goals (Grimsby Town's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Rochdale AFC goals →

Grimsby Town goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ROCHDALE AFCLDLWWDWDLW1.50 PPG

GRIMSBY TOWNLLDLLLWWDD0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ROCHDALE AFC HOMExGRIMSBY TOWN AWAY

1.18SCORED A GAME1.181.36CONCEDED A GAME1.1840%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.64CORNERS A GAME6.361.45CARDS A GAME1.64

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.27POINTS A GAME1.09-0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.18-2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.611LEAGUE GAMES11

Rochdale AFC: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

48%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

ROCHDALE AFC OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

GRIMSBY TOWN OR DRAW

39%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ROCHDALE AFCxGRIMSBY TOWN

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Rochdale AFC have scored in 80% of their games.

Grimsby Town have scored in 70% of their games.

Rochdale AFC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Grimsby Town kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards