Match details. League Two. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
Form. Exeter City have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L. Crewe Alexandra have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D.
The numbers. Exeter City score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Exeter City average 4.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Crewe Alexandra score 1.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Crewe Alexandra average 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 53%.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 74% on the records (Exeter City: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7; Crewe Alexandra: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Exeter City or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Exeter City 1-1 Crewe Alexandra (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.24
EXE 7 of 7 (100%) · CRE 5 of 8 (62%)80.9%
Exeter City: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Exeter City: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Exeter City's level
Left off the list: Exeter City or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.3%
Exeter City goals →
Crewe Alexandra goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
EXETER CITYDWDWLDDLWD1.40 PPG
CREWE ALEXANDRAWWDWDWDDDD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
EXETER CITY HOMExCREWE ALEXANDRA AWAY
0.55SCORED A GAME1.360.55CONCEDED A GAME0.8260%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.36CORNERS A GAME4.551.73CARDS A GAME1.64
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
EXETER CITY 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.45POINTS A GAME1.91+0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.55-0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.31.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.211LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
27%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
7%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
EXETER CITY OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CREWE ALEXANDRA OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
EXETER CITYxCREWE ALEXANDRA
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.800.20CONCEDED A GAME0.401.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%0%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%20%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Exeter City have scored in 50% of their games.
Crewe Alexandra have scored in 100% of their games.
Exeter City kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Crewe Alexandra kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards