Chesterfield FC vs Colchester United

Match details. League Two. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.

Form. Chesterfield FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L D. Colchester United have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L.

The numbers. Chesterfield FC score 2.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Chesterfield FC average 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Colchester United score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Colchester United average 8.9 shots (3.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 62% against the records' 38%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The read. No firm call: Chesterfield FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Chesterfield FC the likelier winners; Chesterfield FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 76% on the records (Chesterfield FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Colchester United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8). Backup: Chesterfield FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Colchester United Under 1.5 goals (Chesterfield FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Chesterfield FC Over 1.5 goals (Colchester United's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (Chesterfield FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Chesterfield FC 2-1 Colchester United (10% chance).