BRBRI

19:45Tue 20 Oct

SAL

Bristol Rovers vs Salford City

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Memorial Stadium, Bristol.

Form. Bristol Rovers have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Salford City have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.

The numbers. Bristol Rovers score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Bristol Rovers average 5.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Salford City score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Salford City average 6.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 72%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.

The read. No firm call: Salford City are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. An open game. Salford City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Salford City.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Bristol Rovers Over 0.5 goals (Salford City's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Salford City (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Salford City or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BRI 8 of 8 (100%) · SAL 7 of 9 (78%)82%

Salford City: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Bristol Rovers: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Salford City: only games against sides at Bristol Rovers's level · Bristol Rovers: only games against sides at Salford City's level

Salford City win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.23

BRI 8 of 8 (100%) · SAL 5 of 9 (56%)76.4%

Salford City: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Bristol Rovers: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Salford City: only games against sides at Bristol Rovers's level · Bristol Rovers: only games against sides at Salford City's level

Salford City or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

BRI 8 of 8 (100%) · SAL 5 of 9 (56%)63.9%

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.23

BRI 6 of 9 (67%) · SAL 5 of 8 (62%)74.4%

Bristol Rovers: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Salford City: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Bristol Rovers: only games against sides at Salford City's level · Salford City: only games against sides at Bristol Rovers's level

SALFORD CITY GOALS

Salford City Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.24

BRI 8 of 8 (100%) · SAL 5 of 9 (56%)75%

Salford City scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Bristol Rovers conceded in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Salford City: only games against sides at Bristol Rovers's level · Bristol Rovers: only games against sides at Salford City's level

Left off the list: Bristol Rovers Over 0.5 goals (Salford City's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.7%

Bristol Rovers goals →

Salford City goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BRISTOL ROVERSLLLLWLLWWW1.20 PPG

SALFORD CITYWWDWWLWDWW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BRISTOL ROVERS HOMExSALFORD CITY AWAY

1.36SCORED A GAME1.551.64CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.91CORNERS A GAME6.362.45CARDS A GAME1.45

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.36POINTS A GAME2.00-0.27GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.55+2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.60.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.011LEAGUE GAMES11

Salford City: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SALFORD CITY 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

60%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

48%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

BRISTOL ROVERS OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

SALFORD CITY OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BRISTOL ROVERSxSALFORD CITY

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME2.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Bristol Rovers have scored in 70% of their games.

Salford City have scored in 100% of their games.

Bristol Rovers kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Salford City kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards