CD Cobreloa Calama vs Deportes Recoleta
Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama.
What's at stake. CD Cobreloa Calama are 2nd on 48 points after 27 games, 2 points behind San Luis, 1 point clear of Santiago Wanderers. A win would take them above San Luis. Deportes Recoleta are 6th on 41 points after 27 games, 3 points behind Antofagasta, 1 point clear of Deportes Copiapo. A win would take them level on points with Antofagasta.
Form. CD Cobreloa Calama have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition CD Cobreloa Calama have gone L W W D L W. Deportes Recoleta have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Deportes Recoleta have gone L W D W W D.
The numbers. CD Cobreloa Calama score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Cobreloa Calama average 4.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Deportes Recoleta score 0.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Deportes Recoleta average 5.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings CD Cobreloa Calama have won six, drawn one and lost none. Five of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, CD Cobreloa Calama won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 21 May 2026, it finished CD Cobreloa Calama 2-2 Deportes Recoleta.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 58% against the records' 37%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The read. No firm call: CD Cobreloa Calama are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Cobreloa Calama the likelier winners; the meetings favour CD Cobreloa Calama. Five of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Cobreloa Calama Over 0.5 goals (Deportes Recoleta's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Cobreloa Calama 2-1 Deportes Recoleta (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).