Match details. Primera C, Round of 16. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CS Barracas are 7th on 40 points after 32 games, 1 point behind General Lamadrid, level on points with El Porvenir. A win would take them above General Lamadrid. Sacachispas FC are 2nd on 50 points after 32 games, 1 point behind Berazategui, 2 points clear of Estrella Del Sur. A win would take them above Berazategui. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CS Barracas have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. In this competition CS Barracas have gone D L D L L W. Sacachispas FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition Sacachispas FC have gone W D L L L D.
The numbers. CS Barracas score 0.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and six games without a goal. CS Barracas average 3.8 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Sacachispas FC score 0.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Sacachispas FC average 5.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
Head to head. CS Barracas have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 27 May 2017, it finished CS Barracas 2-0 Sacachispas FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 14%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CS Barracas or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Sacachispas FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CS Barracas 1-1 Sacachispas FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).