Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 10. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli, Campobasso. The referee is A. Recchia.
What's at stake. Campobasso FC are 9th on 12 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Perugia, level on points with Pescara. A win would take them above Perugia. Perugia Calcio Spa are 8th on 13 points after 9 games, level on points with Guidonia Montecelio 1937, 1 point clear of Campobasso FC. A win would take them above Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
Form. Campobasso FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D. Perugia Calcio Spa have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Campobasso FC score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Campobasso FC average 10.2 shots (4.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Perugia Calcio Spa score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Perugia Calcio Spa average 12.4 shots (4.2 on target), 6.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Campobasso FC have won three, drawn none and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Campobasso FC 1-0 Perugia Calcio Spa.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The case against. Perugia Calcio Spa's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Campobasso FC to win. Their goals for and against make Campobasso FC the likelier winners; Campobasso FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Campobasso FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Campobasso FC 1-0 Perugia Calcio Spa (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).