Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 4 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CA Antoniano are 18th on 2 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Tamaraceite. A win would take them above Tamaraceite. Sevilla Atletico are 10th on 8 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Mijas Las Lagunas, 1 point clear of Puente Genil. A win would take them above Mijas Las Lagunas.
Form. CA Antoniano have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. Sevilla Atletico have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W.
The numbers. CA Antoniano score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CA Antoniano average 8.2 shots (3.7 on target), 3.2 corners and 4.3 cards a game. Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sevilla Atletico average 8.3 shots (3.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings CA Antoniano have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 28 Jan 2024, it finished CA Antoniano 0-3 Sevilla Atletico.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. CA Antoniano's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Sevilla Atletico to win. Their goals for and against make Sevilla Atletico the likelier winners; Sevilla Atletico are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Sevilla Atletico at 1.49, 81% on the records (Sevilla Atletico unbeaten in 4 of 6; CA Antoniano failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Leave: Sevilla Atletico or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CA Antoniano 0-1 Sevilla Atletico (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).