CDCHA

01:00Sat 17 Oct

MON

Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Montaneses FC

CLASS D

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

CDv

Over 1.5 Goals

Chapulineros de Oaxaca v Montaneses FC

Mexico - Liga Primera… · 01:00

1.31odds

76%book

+5edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Chapulineros de Oaxaca are 13th on 5 points after 6 games, level on points with Deportiva Venados, 1 point clear of H2O Purepechas. A win would take them above Deportiva Venados. Montaneses FC are 9th on 10 points after 7 games, level on points with Jaguares de Chiapas, 1 point clear of Los Cabos United. A win would take them above Jaguares de Chiapas.

Form. Chapulineros de Oaxaca have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. Montaneses FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.

The numbers. Chapulineros de Oaxaca score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chapulineros de Oaxaca average 10.9 shots (4.4 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Montaneses FC score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Montaneses FC average 8.7 shots (3.1 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game.

Head to head. Montaneses FC have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Chapulineros de Oaxaca 0-2 Montaneses FC.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, rated 76% (Chapulineros de Oaxaca: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6; Montaneses FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Predicted score: Chapulineros de Oaxaca 2-1 Montaneses FC (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Chapulineros de Oaxaca the favourite), an open game.

The league run. Chapulineros de Oaxaca: up and down in the league (W L D D L). Montaneses FC: up and down in the league (W L W L L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CHA 6 of 6 (100%) · MON 7 of 7 (100%)92.6%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Montaneses FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level

Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.31

CHA 5 of 6 (83%) · MON 7 of 7 (100%)81.3%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Montaneses FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA GOALS

Chapulineros de Oaxaca Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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CHA 5 of 6 (83%) · MON 7 of 7 (100%)75.6%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Montaneses FC conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level

MONTANESES FC GOALS

Montaneses FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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MON 7 of 7 (100%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)72.1%

Montaneses FC scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Chapulineros de Oaxaca conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

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CHA 4 of 5 (80%) · MON 4 of 6 (67%)73.3%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Montaneses FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Montaneses FC's level · Montaneses FC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level

Left off the list: Montaneses FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Montaneses FC (no result call); Montaneses FC 1UP (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Montaneses FC (no result call); Chapulineros de Oaxaca Under 1.5 goals (Montaneses FC's own games don't back it (2 of 7)); Montaneses FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.6%

Chapulineros de Oaxaca goals →

Montaneses FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACALLDDLLDDLW0.70 PPG

MONTANESES FCWWLDDLLWLW1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA HOMExMONTANESES FC AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.801.80CONCEDED A GAME1.5010%CLEAN SHEETS10%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%2.75CORNERS A GAME3.002.12CARDS A GAME3.14

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.14-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.21.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.25LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA OR DRAW

70%

NO · 80/85

MONTANESES FC OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACAxMONTANESES FC

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME2.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA 0 · 0%DRAW 0MONTANESES FC 2 · 100%

2025-11-09Chapulineros de Oaxaca 1 – 2 Montaneses FC

2026-03-21Chapulineros de Oaxaca 0 – 2 Montaneses FC

TRENDS

Chapulineros de Oaxaca have scored in 70% of their games.

Montaneses FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Chapulineros de Oaxaca kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Montaneses FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards