Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 40. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Genacio Salice Stadium, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. CA Villa San Carlos are 13th on 47 points after 39 games, level on points with Dock Sud, 2 points clear of Deportivo Merlo. A win would take them above Dock Sud. Villa Dalmine are 5th on 65 points after 39 games, 3 points behind Talleres Remedios, 1 point clear of Deportivo Camioneros. A win would take them level on points with Talleres Remedios.
Form. CA Villa San Carlos have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. In this competition CA Villa San Carlos have gone L W W D D D. Villa Dalmine have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. In this competition Villa Dalmine have gone D L D W L L.
The numbers. CA Villa San Carlos score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Villa San Carlos average 4.8 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Villa Dalmine score 0.7 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and six games without a goal. Villa Dalmine average 4.7 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings CA Villa San Carlos have won two, drawn three and lost two. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and Villa Dalmine won two. The last time they met, on 6 Jun 2026, it finished CA Villa San Carlos 0-0 Villa Dalmine.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CA Villa San Carlos the likelier winners, but the meetings favour Villa Dalmine.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 78% on the records (CA Villa San Carlos: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Villa Dalmine: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CA Villa San Carlos or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Villa Dalmine or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Villa San Carlos 1-1 Villa Dalmine (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).