STSTT

17:30Sun 18 Oct

LOM

St. Truidense VV vs Lommel SK

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Beker van Belgie, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. St. Truidense VV have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. Lommel SK have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. In this competition Lommel SK have gone W.

The numbers. St. Truidense VV score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. St. Truidense VV average 16.0 shots (4.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Lommel SK score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lommel SK average 11.4 shots (3.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished St. Truidense VV 1-1 Lommel SK: St. Truidense VV had 32 shots to 9, 66% of the ball, one yellow card.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: St. Truidense VV 2-1 Lommel SK (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.16

STT 7 of 7 (100%) · LOM 3 of 5 (60%)77.4%

St. Truidense VV: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lommel SK: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · St. Truidense VV: only games against sides at Lommel SK's level · Lommel SK: only games against sides at St. Truidense VV's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

STT 6 of 7 (86%) · LOM 3 of 5 (60%)72.1%

St. Truidense VV: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lommel SK: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · St. Truidense VV: only games against sides at Lommel SK's level · Lommel SK: only games against sides at St. Truidense VV's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 8.7%

St. Truidense VV goals →

Lommel SK goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ST. TRUIDENSE VVDWLWLWLLLW1.30 PPG

LOMMEL SKDDLWWLLDWW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ST. TRUIDENSE VV HOMExLOMMEL SK AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.101.90CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE50%5.50CORNERS A GAME4.002.25CARDS A GAME1.141.79xG0.921.16xG AGAINST1.32

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.17POINTS A GAME1.67+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.17-0.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.46LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

69%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 85/90

ST. TRUIDENSE VV OR DRAW

47%

NO · 80/85

LOMMEL SK OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ST. TRUIDENSE VVxLOMMEL SK

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.802.00CONCEDED A GAME1.404.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE20%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.88.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES12.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 1

ST. TRUIDENSE VV 0 · 0%DRAW 1LOMMEL SK 0 · 0%

2026-08-08St. Truidense VV 1 – 1 Lommel SK

TRENDS

St. Truidense VV have scored in 70% of their games.

Lommel SK have scored in 50% of their games.

St. Truidense VV kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Lommel SK kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards