UCUBC

11:00Sun 18 Oct

CDA

UB Conquense vs CD Atletico Paso

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. UB Conquense are 1st on 13 points after 6 games, level on points with A Madrid III. CD Atletico Paso are 14th on 5 points after 6 games, level on points with Atlético Tordesillas, level on points with Calvo Sotelo. A win would take them above Atlético Tordesillas.

Form. UB Conquense have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. CD Atletico Paso have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L D.

The numbers. UB Conquense score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. UB Conquense average 10.9 shots (4.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CD Atletico Paso score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Atletico Paso average 5.3 shots (2.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings UB Conquense have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 9 Mar 2025, it finished UB Conquense 0-1 CD Atletico Paso.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CD Atletico Paso the likelier winners, but UB Conquense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UB Conquense.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: UB Conquense or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: UB Conquense or Draw (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: UB Conquense 1-1 CD Atletico Paso (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UBC 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 6 of 6 (100%)95.8%

UB Conquense: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Paso: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at UB Conquense's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UBC 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 6 of 6 (100%)89.1%

UB Conquense: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Paso: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at UB Conquense's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UBC 3 of 5 (60%) · CDA 5 of 6 (83%)75.7%

UB Conquense: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Paso: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at UB Conquense's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.63

UBC 3 of 5 (60%) · CDA 4 of 6 (67%)54.3%

UB Conquense: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Paso: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at UB Conquense's level

UB CONQUENSE GOALS

UB Conquense Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

UBC 3 of 5 (60%) · CDA 4 of 6 (67%)64.5%

UB Conquense scored in 3 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Paso conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · UB Conquense: only games against sides at CD Atletico Paso's level · CD Atletico Paso: only games against sides at UB Conquense's level

Left off the list: UB Conquense or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Double Chance: UB Conquense or Draw (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

UB Conquense goals →

CD Atletico Paso goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

UB CONQUENSEDDLLDWWWLW1.50 PPG

CD ATLETICO PASODDWDLDLDWL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

UB CONQUENSE HOMExCD ATLETICO PASO AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.801.10CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE50%4.62CORNERS A GAME3.672.62CARDS A GAME2.33

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

67%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

UB CONQUENSE OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CD ATLETICO PASO OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

UB CONQUENSE 1 · 50%DRAW 0CD ATLETICO PASO 1 · 50%

2024-10-27UB Conquense 3 – 0 CD Atletico Paso

2025-03-09UB Conquense 0 – 1 CD Atletico Paso

TRENDS

UB Conquense have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Atletico Paso have scored in 70% of their games.

UB Conquense kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

CD Atletico Paso kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards