Match details. Segunda Division, 2nd Phase - 23. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Palermo, Montevideo.
What's at stake. Miramar Misiones are 12th on 26 points after 22 games, 1 point behind Sportivo Huracan, 2 points clear of Tacuarembo. A win would take them above Sportivo Huracan. CS Cerrito are 7th on 32 points after 22 games, level on points with Oriental, 2 points clear of Fenix. A win would take them above Oriental. Miramar Misiones have nothing left to play for, while CS Cerrito need the win.
Form. Miramar Misiones have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition Miramar Misiones have gone D W L W W L. CS Cerrito have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. In this competition CS Cerrito have gone W W L D D L.
The numbers. Miramar Misiones score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Miramar Misiones average 6.9 shots (3.7 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.5 cards a game. CS Cerrito score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CS Cerrito average 9.6 shots (4.2 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Miramar Misiones have won two, drawn six and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Miramar Misiones won one, two were drawn and CS Cerrito won one. The last time they met, on 12 Jul 2026, it finished Miramar Misiones 0-1 CS Cerrito.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Miramar Misiones the likelier winners, but CS Cerrito are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CS Cerrito.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 74% on the records (Miramar Misiones: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; CS Cerrito: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CS Cerrito or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); CS Cerrito or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Miramar Misiones 1-1 CS Cerrito (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).