Tacuarembo FC vs La Luz FC
Match details. Segunda Division, 2nd Phase - 23. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Tacuarembo FC are 13th on 24 points after 22 games, 2 points behind Miramar, 7 points clear of Uruguay Montevideo. A win would take them above Miramar. La Luz FC are 10th on 28 points after 22 games, level on points with Paysandu, 1 point clear of Sportivo Huracan. A win would take them above Paysandu. Tacuarembo FC have nothing left to play for. La Luz FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Tacuarembo FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. In this competition Tacuarembo FC have gone L L D D D L. La Luz FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. In this competition La Luz FC have gone D W W L W L.
The numbers. Tacuarembo FC score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Tacuarembo FC average 10.2 shots (4.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. La Luz FC score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. La Luz FC average 8.2 shots (2.6 on target), 6.8 corners and 3.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Tacuarembo FC have won two, drawn three and lost three. One of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Tacuarembo FC won one, two were drawn and La Luz FC won one. The last time they met, on 13 Jul 2026, it finished Tacuarembo FC 0-2 La Luz FC.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Seven of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 74% on the records (Tacuarembo FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; La Luz FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: La Luz FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tacuarembo FC 1-1 La Luz FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).