Match details. Segunda Division, 2nd Phase - 23. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parque Capurro, Montevideo.
What's at stake. CA Fenix Montevideo are 8th on 30 points after 22 games, 2 points behind Cerrito, 2 points clear of Paysandu. A win would take them above Cerrito. Paysandu FC are 9th on 28 points after 22 games, 2 points behind Fenix, level on points with La Luz. A win would take them above Fenix. Paysandu FC have nothing left to play for, while CA Fenix Montevideo need the win.
Form. CA Fenix Montevideo have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition CA Fenix Montevideo have gone D W L D W L. Paysandu FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. In this competition Paysandu FC have gone W L D D L W.
The numbers. CA Fenix Montevideo score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CA Fenix Montevideo average 10.3 shots (4.7 on target), 5.9 corners and 4.3 cards a game. Paysandu FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Paysandu FC average 8.7 shots (3.1 on target), 3.3 corners and 4.3 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 13 Jul 2026, it finished CA Fenix Montevideo 0-1 Paysandu FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.28, 76% on the records (CA Fenix Montevideo: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Paysandu FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: CA Fenix Montevideo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Paysandu FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Fenix Montevideo 1-1 Paysandu FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).