Al-Fayha FC vs Al Ahli Saudi FC
Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 16:05 Lagos time. It is played at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium, Al Majma'ah.
What's at stake. Al-Fayha FC are 14th on 7 points after 9 games, level on points with Al Shabab, 1 point clear of Al-Faisaly FC. A win would take them above Al Shabab. Al Ahli Saudi FC are 6th on 15 points after 8 games, 1 point behind NEOM, level on points with Al-Ettifaq. A win would take them above NEOM.
Form. Al-Fayha FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D. Al Ahli Saudi FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. Al-Fayha FC score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Al-Fayha FC average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Al Ahli Saudi FC score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Al Ahli Saudi FC average 13.2 shots (4.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al-Fayha FC have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and Al Ahli Saudi FC won three. The last time they met, on 8 Apr 2026, it finished Al-Fayha FC 1-1 Al Ahli Saudi FC: Al-Fayha FC had 7 shots to 11, 43% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Al-Fayha FC's record still gives them 23% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The read. Al Ahli Saudi FC to win. A tight game. Al Ahli Saudi FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Ahli Saudi FC; the meetings favour Al Ahli Saudi FC. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Ahli Saudi FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al-Fayha FC Under 1.5 goals (Al Ahli Saudi FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al-Fayha FC 0-1 Al Ahli Saudi FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).