Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu.
Form. AL Ansar SC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo have gone W.
The numbers. AL Ansar SC score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. AL Ansar SC average 12.5 shots (6.1 on target), 8.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo score three and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo average 13.7 shots (2.5 on target), 7.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. AL Ansar SC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo the likelier winners; Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AL Ansar SC Under 1.5 goals (AL Ansar SC's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AL Ansar SC 1-2 Al Ittihad Ahli of Aleppo (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).