Match details. Bulgarian Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Yantra Gabrovo have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition FC Yantra Gabrovo have gone W. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. FC Yantra Gabrovo score 1.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. FC Yantra Gabrovo average 10.9 shots (3.7 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv average 7.8 shots (2.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 19% against the records' 73%.
The read. No firm call: FC Yantra Gabrovo are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC Yantra Gabrovo the likelier winners; FC Yantra Gabrovo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Yantra Gabrovo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 13%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Yantra Gabrovo 1-0 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv (18% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
FCY 5 of 5 (100%) · PFC 5 of 5 (100%)100%
FC Yantra Gabrovo: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCY 5 of 5 (100%) · PFC 5 of 5 (100%)100%
FC Yantra Gabrovo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
FCY 5 of 5 (100%) · PFC 5 of 5 (100%)100%
FC Yantra Gabrovo: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
FCY 5 of 5 (100%) · PFC 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%
FC Yantra Gabrovo: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.45
FCY 4 of 5 (80%) · PFC 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%
FC Yantra Gabrovo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–017.7%
FC Yantra Gabrovo goals →
PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv goals ↓
0-013%
1-018%
2-013%
3-07%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-17%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-22%
1-23%
2-23%
3-21%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-30.5%
1-30.7%
2-30.5%
3-30.3%
4-30.1%
5-30.0%
0-40.1%
1-40.1%
2-40.1%
3-40.0%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
FC YANTRA GABROVOWWDWWLLLWW1.90 PPG
PFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIVWLLLLLWLDD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC YANTRA GABROVO HOMExPFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV AWAY
1.20SCORED A GAME0.600.60CONCEDED A GAME1.3050%CLEAN SHEETS10%33%FAILED TO SCORE55%6.43CORNERS A GAME3.802.00CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME0.83+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.67+5.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES6
FC Yantra Gabrovo: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
FC YANTRA GABROVO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
9%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FC YANTRA GABROVO OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
PFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV OR DRAW
32%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC YANTRA GABROVOxPFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.600.60CONCEDED A GAME1.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%0%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
FC Yantra Gabrovo have scored in 70% of their games.
PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have scored in 50% of their games.
FC Yantra Gabrovo kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards