Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 5 - 7. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. RSD Alcala SAD are 11th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Navalcarnero, level on points with Real Ávila. A win would take them above Navalcarnero. Real Madrid C are 17th on 4 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Albacete II, 1 point clear of Getafe II. A win would take them above Albacete II.
Form. RSD Alcala SAD have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. Real Madrid C have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L D.
The numbers. RSD Alcala SAD score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. RSD Alcala SAD average 10.6 shots (4.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Real Madrid C score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Real Madrid C average 11.7 shots (3.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings RSD Alcala SAD have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 22 Feb 2026, it finished RSD Alcala SAD 2-2 Real Madrid C.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: RSD Alcala SAD 1-1 Real Madrid C (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).