AS Melfi 1929 vs AS Bisceglie
Match details. Serie D, Group H, Group H - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AS Melfi 1929 are 18th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Nardò. A win would take them above Nardò. AS Bisceglie are 4th on 15 points after 7 games, level on points with Turris, 2 points clear of Nocerina. A win would take them above Turris.
Form. AS Melfi 1929 have won one, drawn one and lost six of their last eight, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. AS Bisceglie have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. AS Melfi 1929 score 0.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. AS Melfi 1929 average 9.0 shots (4.0 on target), 8.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AS Bisceglie score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AS Bisceglie average 8.2 shots (4.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 44% against the records' 71%.
The read. No firm call: AS Bisceglie are the better side, but not at this price. AS Bisceglie are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Bisceglie.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AS Melfi 1929 1-1 AS Bisceglie (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).