Match details. Ad1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
Form. FC Rangers have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. FC Ordino have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D.
The numbers. FC Rangers score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. FC Rangers average 10.6 shots (5.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 4.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. FC Ordino score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Ordino average 8.3 shots (2.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: FC Rangers are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Rangers the likelier winners; FC Rangers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Rangers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (FC Rangers are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Rangers are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Rangers 2-1 FC Ordino (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).