AAASA

14:00Sat 17 Oct

SUN

ASA Aarhus vs Sundby BK

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. 3rd Division. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. ASA Aarhus have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Sundby BK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.

The numbers. ASA Aarhus score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Sundby BK score 1.5 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal.

The case against. Sundby BK's record still gives them 46% to win.

The read. ASA Aarhus to win. An open game. ASA Aarhus are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour ASA Aarhus. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: ASA Aarhus 2-1 Sundby BK (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

ASA Aarhus or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASA 8 of 9 (89%) · SUN 5 of 8 (62%)75.7%

ASA Aarhus: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sundby BK: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · ASA Aarhus: only games against sides at Sundby BK's level · Sundby BK: only games against sides at ASA Aarhus's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASA 9 of 9 (100%) · SUN 8 of 8 (100%)92.5%

ASA Aarhus: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sundby BK: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · ASA Aarhus: only games against sides at Sundby BK's level · Sundby BK: only games against sides at ASA Aarhus's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.55

ASA 6 of 9 (67%) · SUN 3 of 8 (38%)54.4%

ASA Aarhus: both scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sundby BK: both scored in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · ASA Aarhus: only games against sides at Sundby BK's level · Sundby BK: only games against sides at ASA Aarhus's level

ASA AARHUS GOALS

ASA Aarhus Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASA 8 of 9 (89%) · SUN 5 of 8 (62%)77.5%

ASA Aarhus scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Sundby BK conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · ASA Aarhus: only games against sides at Sundby BK's level · Sundby BK: only games against sides at ASA Aarhus's level

SUNDBY BK GOALS

Sundby BK Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASA 6 of 8 (75%) · SUN 7 of 9 (78%)69.5%

Sundby BK scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ASA Aarhus conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Sundby BK: only games against sides at ASA Aarhus's level · ASA Aarhus: only games against sides at Sundby BK's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.1%

ASA Aarhus goals →

Sundby BK goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ASA AARHUSLLWLWLWLLW1.20 PPG

SUNDBY BKLLWWLLWLDD1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASA AARHUS HOMExSUNDBY BK AWAY

1.36SCORED A GAME1.451.45CONCEDED A GAME1.7360%BOTH SCORED40%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.60POINTS A GAME1.00+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.210LEAGUE GAMES10

ASA Aarhus: the quality side - more points a game.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

ASA AARHUS OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

SUNDBY BK OR DRAW

20%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ASA AARHUSxSUNDBY BK

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME1.802.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

ASA Aarhus have scored in 80% of their games.

Sundby BK have scored in 70% of their games.

ASA Aarhus kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Sundby BK kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table