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DENMARK - 3RD DIVISION
Naesby BK crestNBNAE
13:00Sat 17 Oct
VANVanloese IF crestVI

Naesby BK vs Vanloese IF

CLASS E
THE READ

Match details. 3rd Division, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at ALPI Arena Naesby, Odense.

What's at stake. Naesby BK are 5th on 17 points after 11 games, 3 points behind FC Helsingor, 1 point clear of ASA Aarhus. A win would take them level on points with FC Helsingor. Vanloese IF are 3rd on 20 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Brønshøj, level on points with FC Helsingor. A win would take them above Brønshøj.

Form. Naesby BK have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition Naesby BK have gone L W W D L W. Vanloese IF have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. In this competition Vanloese IF have gone D W D D W W.

The numbers. Naesby BK score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Vanloese IF score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Naesby BK have won three, drawn four and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Naesby BK won one, one was drawn and Vanloese IF won two. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished Naesby BK 0-3 Vanloese IF.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Vanloese IF or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Vanloese IF or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Naesby BK 1-1 Vanloese IF (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 8 of 10 (80%) · VAN 10 of 10 (100%)95.4%
Naesby BK: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Vanloese IF: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Vanloese IF's level · Vanloese IF: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 7 of 10 (70%) · VAN 10 of 10 (100%)88.3%
Naesby BK: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Vanloese IF: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 6 of 6 · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Vanloese IF's level · Vanloese IF: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
VANLOESE IF GOALS
Vanloese IF Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 9 of 10 (90%) · VAN 8 of 10 (80%)68.9%
Vanloese IF scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Naesby BK conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 6 · Vanloese IF: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Vanloese IF's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAE 8 of 10 (80%) · VAN 7 of 10 (70%)68.8%
Naesby BK: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Vanloese IF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Naesby BK: only games against sides at Vanloese IF's level · Vanloese IF: only games against sides at Naesby BK's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Vanloese IF or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Vanloese IF or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Vanloese IF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
Naesby BK goals →
Vanloese IF goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
NAESBY BKLDWLWLDWWL1.40 PPG
VANLOESE IFWLWDWWDDWD1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NAESBY BK HOMExVANLOESE IF AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.401.50CONCEDED A GAME0.7020%CLEAN SHEETS40%36%FAILED TO SCORE9%
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.55POINTS A GAME1.90+0.36GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.70–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.211LEAGUE GAMES10
Vanloese IF: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NAESBY BK OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
VANLOESE IF OR DRAW
62%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NAESBY BKxVANLOESE IF
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME1.203.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
NAESBY BK 3 · 30%DRAW 4VANLOESE IF 3 · 30%
4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-10-22Naesby BK 2 – 2 Vanloese IF
2023-05-06Naesby BK 0 – 2 Vanloese IF
2023-06-10Naesby BK 1 – 1 Vanloese IF
2023-10-07Naesby BK 1 – 1 Vanloese IF
2023-11-18Naesby BK 1 – 0 Vanloese IF
2025-08-23Naesby BK 1 – 0 Vanloese IF
2026-04-02Naesby BK 0 – 2 Vanloese IF
2026-04-25Naesby BK 1 – 1 Vanloese IF
TRENDS
Naesby BK have scored in 80% of their games.
Vanloese IF have scored in 90% of their games.
Naesby BK kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Vanloese IF kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table
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