Dundela FC vs Rathfriland Rangers

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Dundela FC are 13th on 11 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Moyola Park, 1 point clear of Strabane Athletic. A win would take them level on points with Moyola Park. Rathfriland Rangers are 15th on 9 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Strabane Athletic, 4 points clear of Armagh City. A win would take them above Strabane Athletic.

Form. Dundela FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. In this competition Dundela FC have gone L L W D D W. Rathfriland Rangers have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition Rathfriland Rangers have gone W W L W L L.

The numbers. Dundela FC score 1.7 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Dundela FC average 4.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Rathfriland Rangers score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Rathfriland Rangers average 3.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The case against. Rathfriland Rangers's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Dundela FC to win. Their goals for and against make Dundela FC the likelier winners; Dundela FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dundela FC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Rathfriland Rangers or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Dundela FC); Rathfriland Rangers or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Dundela FC). Predicted score: Dundela FC 1-0 Rathfriland Rangers (10% chance).