Cffa vs Young Africans SC
Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Cffa have won two, drawn two and lost three of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Young Africans SC have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W.
The numbers. Cffa score 1.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Young Africans SC score 2.1 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Young Africans SC average 11.2 shots (5.5 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 86% against the records' 61%.
The read. No firm call: Young Africans SC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Young Africans SC the likelier winners; Young Africans SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Young Africans SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 83% on the records (Cffa: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7; Young Africans SC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Young Africans SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Young Africans SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Young Africans SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Cffa 1-2 Young Africans SC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).