Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Surkhon, Termez. The referee is U. Rahimjonov.
What's at stake. FK Termez Surkhon are 12th on 27 points after 23 games, 1 point behind Sogdiana, 4 points clear of Kokand-1912. A win would take them above Sogdiana. Xorazm Fk Urganch are 15th on 22 points after 23 games, level on points with Bunyodkor, 18 points clear of Mash'al. A win would take them above Bunyodkor.
Form. FK Termez Surkhon have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition FK Termez Surkhon have gone D W L W D D. Xorazm Fk Urganch have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L. In this competition Xorazm Fk Urganch have gone D L D L L L.
The numbers. FK Termez Surkhon score 0.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and five games without a goal. FK Termez Surkhon average 4.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Xorazm Fk Urganch score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Xorazm Fk Urganch average 4.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings FK Termez Surkhon have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 28 Jul 2026, it finished FK Termez Surkhon 0-1 Xorazm Fk Urganch.
The case against. Xorazm Fk Urganch's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. FK Termez Surkhon to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FK Termez Surkhon the likelier winners; FK Termez Surkhon are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: FK Termez Surkhon or Draw at 1.31, 75% on the records (FK Termez Surkhon unbeaten in 6 of 10; Xorazm Fk Urganch failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Termez Surkhon or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Termez Surkhon or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Termez Surkhon Over 0.5 Goals (FK Termez Surkhon's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: FK Termez Surkhon 1-0 Xorazm Fk Urganch (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).