Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. The referee is G. Djuraev.
What's at stake. FK Kokand 1912 are 13th on 23 points after 23 games, 4 points behind Surkhon, 1 point clear of Bunyodkor. FK Neftchi Fargona are 2nd on 52 points after 23 games, level on points with Pakhtakor, 7 points clear of Navbahor. A win would take them above Pakhtakor.
Form. FK Kokand 1912 have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition FK Kokand 1912 have gone W L L D D W. FK Neftchi Fargona have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. In this competition FK Neftchi Fargona have gone D W W L W L.
The numbers. FK Kokand 1912 score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FK Kokand 1912 average 4.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. FK Neftchi Fargona score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. FK Neftchi Fargona average 6.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FK Kokand 1912 have won three, drawn three and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and FK Neftchi Fargona won two. The last time they met, on 29 Apr 2026, it finished FK Kokand 1912 0-4 FK Neftchi Fargona.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 63% against the records' 39%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: FK Neftchi Fargona are the better side, but not at this price. FK Neftchi Fargona are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour FK Neftchi Fargona.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FK Kokand 1912 1-1 FK Neftchi Fargona (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).