THE READ
Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo. The referee is Esteban Ostojich.
What's at stake. SE Palmeiras SP are 2nd on 11 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Cerro Porteno, 5 points clear of Sporting Cristal. A win would take them above Cerro Porteno. Fluminense FC RJ are 2nd on 8 points after 6 games, 8 points behind Independ. Rivadavia, 3 points clear of Bolívar. SE Palmeiras SP have nothing left to play for. Fluminense FC RJ have nothing left to play for. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. SE Palmeiras SP have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Fluminense FC RJ have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W.
The numbers. SE Palmeiras SP score 1.4 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and three games without a goal. SE Palmeiras SP average 14.7 shots (5.8 on target), 5.7 corners and 3.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Fluminense FC RJ score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Fluminense FC RJ average 9.7 shots (4.4 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 62% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings SE Palmeiras SP have won four, drawn two and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, SE Palmeiras SP won two, one was drawn and Fluminense FC RJ won one. The last time they met, on 15 Oct 2026, it finished SE Palmeiras SP 2-1 Fluminense FC RJ: SE Palmeiras SP had 7 shots to 11, 30% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. A knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and SE Palmeiras SP are not clearly stronger. Fluminense FC RJ's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. SE Palmeiras SP or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make SE Palmeiras SP the likelier winners; SE Palmeiras SP are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SE Palmeiras SP. Their xG points to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The bets. Best bet: SE Palmeiras SP or Draw at 1.16, 76% on the records (SE Palmeiras SP unbeaten in 6 of 6; Fluminense FC RJ failed to win 4 of 7). Backup: Fluminense FC RJ Under 1.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SE Palmeiras SP or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); SE Palmeiras SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SE Palmeiras SP 1-1 Fluminense FC RJ (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
SE Palmeiras SP or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.14
SEP 5 of 5 (100%) · FLU 6 of 6 (100%)85.7%
SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ trailed or failed to win in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
SE Palmeiras SP or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.15
SEP 6 of 6 (100%) · FLU 4 of 7 (57%)79.8%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · the call is SE Palmeiras SP or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if l
Double Chance: SE Palmeiras SP or DrawMAININ CODES
1.16
SEP 6 of 6 (100%) · FLU 4 of 7 (57%)75.6%
SE Palmeiras SP unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ failed to win 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
SE Palmeiras SP or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.23
SEP 4 of 6 (67%) · FLU 5 of 7 (71%)68.5%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · the call is SE Palmeiras SP or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if l
SE Palmeiras SP 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.52
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · FLU 4 of 6 (67%)67.9%
SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ trailed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · the call is SE Palmeiras SP or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and SE Pal
SE Palmeiras SP (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
SEP 6 of 7 (86%) · FLU 3 of 6 (50%)65.9%
SE Palmeiras SP won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Fluminense FC RJ lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 3 of 5 · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 1
1X2 - 2UP: SE Palmeiras SPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.66
SEP 4 of 5 (80%) · FLU 4 of 6 (67%)63.2%
SE Palmeiras SP scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · the call is SE Palmeiras SP or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals
SE Palmeiras SP or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
SEP 5 of 6 (83%) · FLU 2 of 7 (29%)58.6%
SE Palmeiras SP: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: the bet landed in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 4 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
SE Palmeiras SP to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.97
SEP 4 of 6 (67%) · FLU 3 of 7 (43%)53.6%
SE Palmeiras SP won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · the call is SE Palmeiras SP or the draw: a knockout game (Semi-finals) with penalties if level, and SE Palmeiras SP are
GOALS
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.25
SEP 5 of 6 (83%) · FLU 3 of 7 (43%)68.2%
SE Palmeiras SP: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · H2H 5 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
SEP 5 of 6 (83%) · FLU 2 of 7 (29%)50.3%
SE Palmeiras SP: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · H2H 2 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
SE PALMEIRAS SP GOALS
SE Palmeiras SP Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.24
SEP 4 of 6 (67%) · FLU 5 of 7 (71%)68.5%
SE Palmeiras SP scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 4 of 6 · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
FLUMINENSE FC RJ GOALS
Fluminense FC RJ Under 1.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.16
SEP 4 of 7 (57%) · FLU 6 of 6 (100%)79.8%
Fluminense FC RJ scored under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SE Palmeiras SP conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level
CARDS
no price yet
SEP 5 of 6 (83%) · FLU 4 of 7 (57%)70.2%
SE Palmeiras SP's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Fluminense FC RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · SE Palmeiras SP: only games against sides at Fluminense FC RJ's level · Fluminense FC RJ: only games against sides at SE Palmeiras SP's level
Left off the list: SE Palmeiras SP or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); SE Palmeiras SP or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
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543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
SE PALMEIRAS SP 4 · 40%DRAW 2FLUMINENSE FC RJ 4 · 40%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2022-08-27SE Palmeiras SP 1 – 1 Fluminense FC RJ
2023-08-06SE Palmeiras SP 1 – 2 Fluminense FC RJ
2023-12-03SE Palmeiras SP 1 – 0 Fluminense FC RJ
2024-07-25SE Palmeiras SP 0 – 1 Fluminense FC RJ
2024-12-08SE Palmeiras SP 0 – 1 Fluminense FC RJ
2025-07-23SE Palmeiras SP 2 – 1 Fluminense FC RJ
2025-11-23SE Palmeiras SP 0 – 0 Fluminense FC RJ
2026-02-26SE Palmeiras SP 2 – 1 Fluminense FC RJ