Match details. Schweizer Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:15 Lagos time. It is played at Centre sportif de Colovray, Nyon.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Stade Nyonnais have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition FC Stade Nyonnais have gone W. Basel have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. In this competition Basel have gone W.
The numbers. FC Stade Nyonnais score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Stade Nyonnais average 9.3 shots (3.4 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Basel score three and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Basel average 11.6 shots (3.4 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 15 Sep 2024, it finished FC Stade Nyonnais 0-1 Basel.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Basel are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Basel the likelier winners; Basel are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Basel. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 90%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Basel are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Basel are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Stade Nyonnais 1-2 Basel (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).