Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Shorta SC are 6th on 16 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Erbil, 2 points clear of Al-Jolan SC. A win would take them above Erbil. AL Karkh are 19th on 7 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Naft Maysan, 1 point clear of Karbala. A win would take them above Naft Maysan.
Form. Al Shorta SC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. AL Karkh have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. Al Shorta SC score one and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al Shorta SC average 14.1 shots (5.3 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. AL Karkh score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. AL Karkh average 9.9 shots (4.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Al Shorta SC have won eight, drawn none and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Al Shorta SC won four. The last time they met, on 28 May 2026, it finished Al Shorta SC 2-0 AL Karkh.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Al Shorta SC to win. Their goals for and against make Al Shorta SC the likelier winners; Al Shorta SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Shorta SC; the meetings favour Al Shorta SC.
The bets. Best bet: Al Shorta SC or Draw at 1.11, 77% on the records (Al Shorta SC unbeaten in 7 of 8; AL Karkh failed to win 6 of 6 away). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Al Shorta SC 1-0 AL Karkh (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).