Match details. Prva Liga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion Vrsac.
What's at stake. OFK Vrsac are 5th on 22 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Semendrija 1924, 3 points clear of Dubočica. A win would take them above Semendrija 1924. FK Teleoptik are 13th on 13 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Naftagas, 2 points clear of Grafičar. A win would take them above Naftagas.
Form. OFK Vrsac have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition OFK Vrsac have gone L D L W W W. FK Teleoptik have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition FK Teleoptik have gone W W L L L D.
The numbers. OFK Vrsac score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. OFK Vrsac average 5.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. FK Teleoptik score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FK Teleoptik average 3.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. FK Teleoptik's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. OFK Vrsac to win. A tight game. OFK Vrsac are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour OFK Vrsac. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: OFK Vrsac 1-0 FK Teleoptik (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).