GGGEI

17:00Fri 16 Oct

DOD

Geita Gold FC vs Dodoma FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Geita Gold Mine Stadium.

What's at stake. Geita Gold FC are 12th on 7 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Namungo, 1 point clear of Tabora United. A win would take them above Namungo. Dodoma FC are 6th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Singida Black Stars, 1 point clear of Polisi Tanzania. A win would take them above Singida Black Stars.

Form. Geita Gold FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. Dodoma FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.

The numbers. Geita Gold FC score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Geita Gold FC average 7.4 shots (2.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Dodoma FC score 0.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Dodoma FC average 5.4 shots (1.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Geita Gold FC have won three, drawn two and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Geita Gold FC won two, one was drawn and Dodoma FC won one. The last time they met, on 9 Mar 2024, it finished Geita Gold FC 1-0 Dodoma FC.

The case against. Dodoma FC's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Geita Gold FC to win. A tight game. The meetings favour Geita Gold FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Geita Gold FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Dodoma FC Under 1.5 goals (Geita Gold FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Geita Gold FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Geita Gold FC 1-0 Dodoma FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Geita Gold FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.12

GEI 5 of 7 (71%) · DOD 10 of 10 (100%)87%

Geita Gold FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Dodoma FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 5 of 6 · Geita Gold FC: only games against sides at Dodoma FC's level · Dodoma FC: only games against sides at Geita Gold FC's level

Geita Gold FC or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY

1.34

GEI 3 of 7 (43%) · DOD 6 of 10 (60%)64.5%

Geita Gold FC: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Dodoma FC: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 51% · H2H 5 of 6 · Geita Gold FC: only games against sides at Dodoma FC's level · Dodoma FC: only games against sides at Geita Gold FC's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GEI 5 of 7 (71%) · DOD 7 of 10 (70%)70.7%

Geita Gold FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Dodoma FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Geita Gold FC: only games against sides at Dodoma FC's level · Dodoma FC: only games against sides at Geita Gold FC's level

Left off the list: Geita Gold FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Dodoma FC Under 1.5 goals (Geita Gold FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Geita Gold FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Geita Gold FC Over 0.5 goals (Geita Gold FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Under 4.5 Goals (Geita Gold FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Geita Gold FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.2%

Geita Gold FC goals →

Dodoma FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GEITA GOLD FCWWWWLWDLLL1.60 PPG

DODOMA FCDDLDLLWWWD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GEITA GOLD FC HOMExDODOMA FC AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME0.601.40CONCEDED A GAME0.8020%CLEAN SHEETS40%57%FAILED TO SCORE29%5.20CORNERS A GAME4.201.50CARDS A GAME1.30

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

GEITA GOLD FC OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.57-0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-5.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES7

Dodoma FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

40%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

16%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

GEITA GOLD FC OR DRAW

79%

NO · 80/85

DODOMA FC OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GEITA GOLD FCxDODOMA FC

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.802.20CONCEDED A GAME0.403.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS20%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

GEITA GOLD FC 3 · 50%DRAW 2DODOMA FC 1 · 17%

2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2022-01-15Geita Gold FC 1 – 1 Dodoma FC

2022-06-13Geita Gold FC 2 – 0 Dodoma FC

2022-09-29Geita Gold FC 0 – 1 Dodoma FC

2023-01-14Geita Gold FC 2 – 0 Dodoma FC

2023-10-21Geita Gold FC 2 – 2 Dodoma FC

2024-03-09Geita Gold FC 1 – 0 Dodoma FC

TRENDS

Geita Gold FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Dodoma FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Geita Gold FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Dodoma FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards