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TANZANIA - PREMIER LEAGUE
Fountain gate FC crestFGFOU
14:00Fri 16 Oct
PAMPamba Jiji SC crestPJ

Fountain gate FC vs Pamba Jiji SC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kwaraa Stadium.

What's at stake. Fountain gate FC are 16th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Pamba Jiji. A win would take them above Pamba Jiji. Pamba Jiji SC are 15th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Kagera Sugar, level on points with Fountain Gate. A win would take them above Kagera Sugar.

Form. Fountain gate FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Pamba Jiji SC have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.

The numbers. Fountain gate FC score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Fountain gate FC average 8.6 shots (3.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Pamba Jiji SC score one and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Pamba Jiji SC average 5.5 shots (2.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Fountain gate FC have won none, drawn one and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 30 Apr 2026, it finished Fountain gate FC 1-2 Pamba Jiji SC.

Where it pulls both ways. Fountain gate FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Pamba Jiji SC: in the last four meetings, Pamba Jiji SC won three and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Fountain gate FC 1-1 Pamba Jiji SC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FOU 5 of 6 (83%) · PAM 10 of 10 (100%)96.3%
Fountain gate FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Pamba Jiji SC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 4 · Fountain gate FC: only games against sides at Pamba Jiji SC's level · Pamba Jiji SC: only games against sides at Fountain gate FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.23
FOU 5 of 6 (83%) · PAM 8 of 10 (80%)78.7%
Fountain gate FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Pamba Jiji SC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · Fountain gate FC: only games against sides at Pamba Jiji SC's level · Pamba Jiji SC: only games against sides at Fountain gate FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.42
FOU 4 of 6 (67%) · PAM 10 of 10 (100%)69.2%
Fountain gate FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Pamba Jiji SC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · Fountain gate FC: only games against sides at Pamba Jiji SC's level · Pamba Jiji SC: only games against sides at Fountain gate FC's level
PAMBA JIJI SC GOALS
Pamba Jiji SC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
FOU 7 of 10 (70%) · PAM 5 of 6 (83%)67.3%
Pamba Jiji SC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fountain gate FC conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Pamba Jiji SC: only games against sides at Fountain gate FC's level · Fountain gate FC: only games against sides at Pamba Jiji SC's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.15
FOU 5 of 6 (83%) · PAM 7 of 10 (70%)76.1%
Fountain gate FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · Pamba Jiji SC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Fountain gate FC: only games against sides at Pamba Jiji SC's level · Pamba Jiji SC: only games against sides at Fountain gate FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.6%
Fountain gate FC goals →
Pamba Jiji SC goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01.0%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
FOUNTAIN GATE FCLDWLWLLLDL0.80 PPG
PAMBA JIJI SCLLLDLLLLLW0.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FOUNTAIN GATE FC HOMExPAMBA JIJI SC AWAY
0.70SCORED A GAME1.001.50CONCEDED A GAME1.9020%CLEAN SHEETS10%57%FAILED TO SCORE29%3.44CORNERS A GAME3.251.22CARDS A GAME1.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.57POINTS A GAME0.57-1.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.71-4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.67LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FOUNTAIN GATE FC OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
PAMBA JIJI SC OR DRAW
39%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FOUNTAIN GATE FCxPAMBA JIJI SC
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME2.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE40%1.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–6.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4
FOUNTAIN GATE FC 0 · 0%DRAW 1PAMBA JIJI SC 3 · 75%
3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED
3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS
2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-11-05Fountain gate FC 1 – 3 Pamba Jiji SC
2025-04-08Fountain gate FC 1 – 1 Pamba Jiji SC
2025-11-23Fountain gate FC 0 – 1 Pamba Jiji SC
2026-04-30Fountain gate FC 1 – 2 Pamba Jiji SC
TRENDS
Fountain gate FC have scored in 40% of their games.
Pamba Jiji SC have scored in 70% of their games.
Fountain gate FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Pamba Jiji SC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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