NSNEW

16:00Fri 16 Oct

ALM

Newroz SC vs AL Minaa

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Stars League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Newroz SC are 2nd on 18 points after 9 games, 5 points behind Al-Karma, level on points with Al Zawra'a. AL Minaa are 8th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Duhok, 1 point clear of Al Quwa Al Jawiya. A win would take them above Duhok.

Form. Newroz SC have won four, drawn three and lost two of their last nine, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. In this competition Newroz SC have gone W D W W W D. AL Minaa have won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition AL Minaa have gone W D L D L L.

The numbers. Newroz SC score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game over their last nine, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. Newroz SC average 10.7 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AL Minaa score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. AL Minaa average 8.7 shots (3.5 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Newroz SC have won three, drawn one and lost none. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished Newroz SC 4-1 AL Minaa.

The case against. AL Minaa's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. Newroz SC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Newroz SC the likelier winners; Newroz SC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Newroz SC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Newroz SC 1-0 AL Minaa (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Newroz SC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NEW 8 of 9 (89%) · ALM 7 of 9 (78%)87.5%

Newroz SC: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 4 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

Double Chance: Newroz SC or DrawIN CODES

1.22

NEW 7 of 9 (78%) · ALM 6 of 9 (67%)81.7%

Newroz SC unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa failed to win 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 4 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

Newroz SC (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.37

NEW 4 of 6 (67%) · ALM 3 of 6 (50%)78.9%

Newroz SC won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · AL Minaa lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 3 of 3 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level · won 3, refunded 3, lost 0

2nd Half - Double Chance: Newroz SC or DrawPAGE ONLY

1.21

NEW 7 of 9 (78%) · ALM 6 of 9 (67%)76.2%

Newroz SC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

Newroz SC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.90

NEW 4 of 9 (44%) · ALM 3 of 9 (33%)58.9%

Newroz SC won 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa lost 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 39% · H2H 3 of 4 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NEW 8 of 9 (89%) · ALM 9 of 9 (100%)95.6%

Newroz SC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 3 of 4 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NEW 8 of 9 (89%) · ALM 9 of 9 (100%)89.1%

Newroz SC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 2 of 4 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

NEW 8 of 9 (89%) · ALM 9 of 9 (100%)76.7%

Newroz SC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 2 of 4 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

NEW 7 of 9 (78%) · ALM 5 of 9 (56%)57.6%

Newroz SC: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 2 of 4 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

NEWROZ SC GOALS

Newroz SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NEW 5 of 9 (56%) · ALM 6 of 9 (67%)77.1%

Newroz SC scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · AL Minaa conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 4 of 4 · Newroz SC: only games against sides at AL Minaa's level · AL Minaa: only games against sides at Newroz SC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.5%

Newroz SC goals →

AL Minaa goals ↓

0-08%

1-012%

2-010%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 9

NEWROZ SCDLLDWWWDW1.67 PPG

AL MINAADWWLLDLDW1.33 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NEWROZ SC HOMExAL MINAA AWAY

1.22SCORED A GAME1.110.56CONCEDED A GAME1.1167%CLEAN SHEETS33%44%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.80CORNERS A GAME5.302.20CARDS A GAME1.60

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.57POINTS A GAME1.12+0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25+5.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.47LEAGUE GAMES8

Newroz SC: the quality side - a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

NEWROZ SC 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NEWROZ SC OR DRAW

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

AL MINAA OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NEWROZ SCxAL MINAA

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.600.20CONCEDED A GAME1.801.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%0%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

NEWROZ SC 3 · 75%DRAW 1AL MINAA 0 · 0%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-02-04Newroz SC 5 – 1 AL Minaa

2025-04-02Newroz SC 1 – 0 AL Minaa

2026-01-01Newroz SC 1 – 1 AL Minaa

2026-04-13Newroz SC 4 – 1 AL Minaa

TRENDS

Newroz SC have scored in 60% of their games.

AL Minaa have scored in 60% of their games.

Newroz SC failed to score in 44% of their games.

AL Minaa failed to score in 33% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards