Match details. National League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa are 15th on 6 points after 9 games, level on points with Hapoel Kfar Saba, 5 points clear of Hapoel Acre. A win would take them above Hapoel Kfar Saba. Ironi Modiin are 12th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Maccabi Kiryat Gat, level on points with Maccabi Herzliya. A win would take them above Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
Form. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Ironi Modiin have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa score one and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa average 10.2 shots (4.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 5.2 cards a game. Ironi Modiin score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Ironi Modiin average 12.3 shots (5.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa have won one, drawn one and lost one. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 8 May 2026, it finished Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1-4 Ironi Modiin.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Ironi Modiin to win. Ironi Modiin are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ironi Modiin.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 2.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 0-1 Ironi Modiin (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).